Share:


Beta convergence analysis of gross value added in the high-technology manufacturing industries

    Andreea Claudia Șerban   Affiliation
    ; Elena Pelinescu   Affiliation
    ; Andrei Silviu Dospinescu   Affiliation

Abstract

The paper examines the recent developments in the high-technology manufacturing sectors in the EU28 countries, focusing on the β-convergence of gross value added in the Manufacture of computers, electronic, and optical products, and the Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations. We employ two dynamic panel models estimated using the system of generalized method of moments (GMM) to address the risk of an endogeneity bias. The panel data analysis indicates a higher convergence for the Manufacture of computer, electronic, and optical products at 16.4% compared to 2.2% for the Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations, which is consistent with the existence of fewer barriers and higher exposure to competition in the case of the first analyzed sector. In the context of the role of the high-technology manufacturing industries as an engine of growth and the existing performance differences between the EU28 countries in terms of gross value added in the analyzed sectors, we investigated the β-convergence for two groupings EU15 and the new EU member states. We found that the new EU member states display a higher β-convergence rate than EU15, but also that they have a lower capital intensity. The result highlights the potential risk of some of the new EU member states becoming laggers in terms of the underlying factors behind gross value added as investment and labour force.


First published online 06 December 2021

Keyword : high-tech manufacturing, gross value added per firm, investment, labour force, capital intensity, convergence, dynamic panel models

How to Cite
Șerban, A. C., Pelinescu, E., & Dospinescu, A. S. (2022). Beta convergence analysis of gross value added in the high-technology manufacturing industries. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 28(2), 290–312. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2021.15918
Published in Issue
Feb 23, 2022
Abstract Views
875
PDF Downloads
672
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

References

Acemoglu, D., & Autor, D. (2011). Skills, tasks, and technologies: Implications for employment and earnings. In O. Ashenfelter & D. Card (Eds.), Handbook of labor economics (Vol. 4B, pp. 1043–1171). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-7218(11)02410-5

Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (2007). Capital, innovation and growth accounting. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 23(1), 79–93. https://doi.org/10.1093/oxrep/grm007

Armstrong, H. W., & Read, R. (2002). The phantom of liberty?: economic growth and the vulnerability of small states. Journal of International Development, 14(4), 435–458. https://doi.org/10.1002/jid.886

Assuncao, J., Burity, P., & Medeiros, M. C. (2015). Is the convergence of the manufacturing sector unconditional? EconomiA, 16(3), 273–294. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econ.2015.09.005

Balassa, B. (1965). Tariff reductions and trade in manufactures among the industrial countries. American Economic Review, 56(3), 466–473.

Baldacci, E., Clements, B., Gupta, S., & Cui, Q. (2004). Social spending, human capital, and growth in developing countries: Implications for achieving the MDGs (IMF Working Paper WP/04/217). https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2004/wp04217.pdf

Barbieri, P., Ciabuschi, F., Fratocchi, L., & Vignoli, M. (2018). What do we know about manufacturing reshoring? Journal of Global Operations and Strategic Sourcing, 11(1), 79–122. https://doi.org/10.1108/JGOSS-02-2017-0004

Barro, R. J., Sala-I-Martin, X., Blanchard, O. J., & Hall, R. R. (1991). Convergence across states and regions. Bookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1991(1), 107–182. https://doi.org/10.2307/2534639

Battisti, M., Del Gatto, M., & Parmeter, C. F. (2018). Labor productivity growth: Disentangling technology and capital accumulation. Journal of Economic Growth, 23(1), 111–143. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10887-017-9143-1

Bell, D. (1973). The coming of post-industrial society: A venture in social forecasting. Basic Books.

Benhabib, J., & Spiegel, M. M. (2005). Human capital and technology diffusion. In P. Aghion & S. N. Durlauf (Eds.), Handbook of economic growth (Vol. 1, pp. 935–966). Elsevier. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0684(05)01013-0

Cappelen, A., Eika, A. T., & Holm, I. (2000). Resource booms: Curse or blessing? [Conference presentation]. Annual Meeting of American Eco-nomic Association 2000, Statistics Norway, Oslo.

Cioffi, R., Travaglioni, M., Piscitelli, G., Petrillo, A., & Parmentola, A. (2020). Smart manufacturing systems and applied industrial technologies for a sustainable industry: A systematic literature review. Applied Sciences, 10(8), 2897. https://doi.org/10.3390/app10082897

Chen, D. C., & Dahlman, C. (2004). Knowledge and development: A cross section approach (Policy Research Working Paper, No 3366). World Bank, Washington. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/14163

European Commission. (2001). Meeting society’s needs and winning global leadership. European aeronautics: A vision for 2020. Luxembourg. https://www.acare4europe.org/sites/acare4europe.org/files/document/Vision%202020_0.pdf

European Commission. (2009). Computers, electronic and optical products. Comprehensive sectoral analysis of emerging competences and eco-nomic activities in the European Union. European Commission, DG EMPL.

European Commission. (2010). Communication from the Commission, Europe 2020. A strategy for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth. Brussels, 3.3.2010 COM(2010) 2020. https://ec.europa.eu/eu2020/pdf/COMPLET%20EN%20BARROSO%20%20%20007%20-%20Europe%202020%20-%20EN%20version.pdf

European Commission. (2013). Factories of the future. Multi annual roadmap for the contractual PPP under Horizon 2020. Brussels. https://www.effra.eu/sites/default/files/factories_of_the_future_2020_roadmap.pdf

Dahlman, C., & Andersson, T. (2000). Korea and the knowledge-based economy: Making the transition. OECD, World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/13845

Docquier, F., & Rapoport, H. (2012). Globalisation, brain drain and development. Journal of Economic Literature, 50(3), 681–730. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.50.3.681

Economist Intelligence Unit. (2018). Preparing for disruption. Technological readiness ranking. EIU. https://www.eiu.com/public/topical_report.aspx?campaignid=TechReadiness

Economist Intelligence Unit. (2020). Europe. Regional overview. (Country forecast). EIU.

Eliasson, G., Johannson, D., & Taymaz, E. (2004). Simulating the New Economy. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 15(3), 289–314. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2004.01.002

European Council. (2017). Conclusions on a future EU industrial policy strategy. http://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2017/05/29-compet-conclusions-future-industrial-policy-strategy/

Eurostat. (2018). Oficial Statisctics of European Union. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat

Eurostat. (2021). Glossary. Oficial Statisctics of European Union. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Glossary:High-tech_classification_of_manufacturing_industries

Fagerberg, J., & Verspagen, B. (1999). Modern capitalism’ in the 1970s and 1980s. In M. Setterfield (Ed.), Growth, employment and inflation: Essays in honour of John Cornwall (pp. 113–126). Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-27393-5_9

Fagerberg, J., Mowery, D., & Verspagen, B. (Eds.). (2009). Innovation, path dependency, and policy: The Norwegian case. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199551552.001.0001

Foster, A. D., & Rosenzweig, M. R. (2010). Microeconomics of technology adoption (Center Discussion Paper No. 984). Yale University. http://www.econ.yale.edu/growth_pdf/cdp984.pdf

Freeman, C. (2002). Continental, national and sub national innovation systems – complementarity and economic growth. Research Policy, 31(2), 191–211. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0048-7333(01)00136-6

Frey, C. B., & Osborne, M. (2017). The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 114, 254–280. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2016.08.019

Gillani, F., Chatha, K. A., Jajja, M. S. S., & Farooq, S. (2020). Implementation of digital manufacturing technologies: Antecedents and conse-quences. International Journal of Production Economics, 229, 107748. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2020.107748

Grela, M., Majchrowska, A., Michałek, T., Mućk, J., Stążka-Gawrysiak, A., Tchorek, G., & Wagner, M. (2017). Is Central and Eastern Europe converging towards the EU15? (NBP Working Paper No. 264).

Hallward-Driemeier, M., & Gaurav, N. (2017). Trouble in the making? The future of manufacturing-led development. World Bank, Washington, DC. http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/720691510129384377/pdf/121005-PUB-ADDBOX-405304B-PUBLIC-PUBDATE-10-12-17.pdf

Hsieh, C. T., & Klenov, P. J. (2010). Development accounting. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2(1), 207–223. https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.2.1.207

International Labour Organization. (2012). Encyclopaedia of occupational health and safety. ILO. https://www.iloencyclopaedia.org/

Jungmittag, A. (2021). Robotisation of the manufacturing industries in the EU: Convergence or divergence? The Journal of Technology Transfer, 46, 1269–1290. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10961-020-09819-0

Kaldor, N. Causes of the Slow Rate of Economic Growth of the United Kingdom. An Inaugural Lecture. London, Cambridge University Press, 1966, 40 p., 5/– net in U.K. (1968). Recherches Economiques De Louvain / Louvain Economic Review, 34(2), 222–222.

Kaldor, N. (1957). A model of economic growth. The Economic Journal, 67(268), 591–624. https://doi.org/10.2307/2227704

Kelley, C., Wang, M., Bitko, G., Chase, M., Kofner, A., Lowell, J., Mulvenon, J., Ortiz, D., & Pollpeter, K. (2004). High-technology manufactur-ing and U.S. competitiveness. RAND Corporation. https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/technical_reports/2004/RAND_TR136.pdf

Kindberg-Hanlon, G., & Okou, C. (2020). Productivity convergence: Is anyone catching up? (Policy Research Working Paper No. 9378). World Bank Group. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/34425/Productivity-Convergence-Is-Anyone-Catching-Up.pdf?sequence=4&isAllowed=y

Knight, W. (2012). This robot could transform manufacturing. MIT Technology Review.

KPMG. (2016). The factory of the future. Industry 4.0 – The challenges of tomorrow. Germany. https://assets.kpmg/content/dam/kpmg/es/pdf/2017/06/the-factory-of-the-future.pdf

Krugman, P., & Lawrence, R. Z. (1994). Trade, jobs, and wages. Scientific American, 22–27. https://doi.org/10.1038/scientificamerican0494-44

Lee, C. K. M., Huo, Y. Z., Zhang, S. Z., & Ng, K. K. H. (2020). Design of a smart manufacturing system with the application of multi-access edge computing and blockchain technology. IEEE Access, 8, 28659–28667. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2020.2972284

Levine, R., & Renelt, D. (1992). A sensitivity analysis of cross-country growth regressions. The American Economic Review, 82(4), 942–963.

Low, P., & Pasadilla, G. O. (Eds.). (2016). Services in global value chains: Manufacturing-related services. World Scientific. https://doi.org/10.1142/10073

Lu, Y., Morris, K. C., & Frechette, S. P. (2016). Current standards landscape for smart manufacturing systems. National Institute of Standards and Technology. https://doi.org/10.6028/NIST.IR.8107

Magacho, G. R., & McCombie, J. S. L. (2018). A sectoral explanation of per capita income convergence and divergence: Estimating Verdoorn’s law for countries at different stages of development. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 42(4), 917–934. https://doi.org/10.1093/cje/bex064

Mankiw, N. G., Romer, D., & Weil, D. N. (1992). Contribution to the empirics of economic growth. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(2), 407–437. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118477

Manyika, J., Sinclair, J., Dobbs, R., Strube, G., Rassey, L., Mischke, J., Remes, J., Roxburgh, C., George, K., O’Halloran, D., & Ramaswamy, S. (2012). Manufacturing the future: The next era of global growth and innovation. McKinsey Globa Institute. https://time.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/manufacturing-the-future.pdf

Maresch, D., & Gartner, J. (2020). Make disruptive technological change happen – The case of additive manufacturing. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 155, 119216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2018.02.009

Mazzola, F., & Pizzuto, P. (2020). Great Recession and club convergence in Europe: A cross country, cross-region panel analysis (2000–2015). Growth and Change. A Journal of Urban and Regional Policy, 51(2), 676–711. https://doi.org/10.1111/grow.12369

Microsoft Dynamics 365. (2019). 2019 Manufacturing trends report. https://info.microsoft.com/rs/157-GQE-382/images/EN-US-CNTNT-Report-2019-Manufacturing-Trends.pdf

Mikulic, M. (2021). Global pharmaceutical industry – Statistics & facts. Statista. https://www.statista.com/topics/1764/global-pharmaceutical-industry/

Mokyr, J., Vickers, C., & Ziebarth, N. L. (2015). The history of technological anxiety and the future of economic growth: Is this time different? Journal of Economic Perspectives, 29(3), 31–50. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.29.3.31

Nelson, R. R., & Phelps, E. S. (1965). Investment in humans, technological diffusion and economic growth (Crowles Fundation Discussion Papers No. 189). American Economic Review, 56(2), 67–75. http://cowles.yale.edu/sites/default/files/files/pub/d01/d0189.pdf

Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development. (2001). The new economy: Beyond the hype. The OECD Growth Project. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264033856-en

Park, S. C. (2018). The Fourth Industrial Revolution and implications for innovative cluster policies. AI & Society, 33(3), 433–445. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00146-017-0777-5

Piech, K., & Radosevic, S. (Eds.). (2006). Knowledge based economy in central and eastern Europe: Countries and industries in a process of change. Palgrave Macmillan.

Qi, G. L., & Tao, F. (2018). Digital twin, big data towards smart manufacturing and industry 4.0: 360 degree comparison. IEEE Access, 6, 3585–3593. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2018.2793265

Qu, J., Simes, R., & O’Mahony, J. (2017). How do digital technologies drive economic growth? Economic Record, 93(S1), 57–69. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-4932.12340

Raj, A., Dwivedi, G., Sharma, A., Jabbour, A. B. L. D., & Rajak, S. (2020). Barriers to the adoption of industry 4.0 technologies in the manufacturing sector: An inter-country comparative perspective. International Journal of Production Economics, 224, 107546. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2019.107546

Rivas, M. D. G., & Villarroya, I. S. (2016). Testing the convergence hypothesis for OECD countries: A reappraisal (Economics Discussion Pa-pers No 2016-45). Kiel Institute for the World Economy. http://www.economics-ejournal.org/economics/discussionpapers/2016-45

Rodrik, D. (2011a). The future of economic convergence (NBER Working Paper No. 17400). https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w17400/w17400.pdf

Rodrik, D. (2011b). Unconditional convergence (NBER Working Paper No. 17546). https://doi.org/10.3386/w17546

Roodman, D. (2006). How to do Xtabond2: An introduction to difference and system GMM in Stata (Center for Global development Working Paper 103). https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.982943

Rowthorn, R., &, Ramaswamy, R. (1997). Deindustrialization: Causes and implications (International Monetary Fund Working Paper, WP/97/42). https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/wp9742.pdf

Sala-i-Martin, X. X. (1996). Regional cohesion: Evidence and theories of regional growth and convergence. European Economic Review, 40(6), 1325–1352. https://doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(95)00029-1

Schwab, K. (2016). The fourth industrial revolution. World Economic Forum, Geneva.

Smith, K. (2002). What is “Knowledge Economy”? Knowledge intensive industries and distributed knowledge bases (UN/INTECH Discussion Papers).

Spilker, B. (1994). Multinational pharmaceutical companies: Principles and practices (2nd ed.). Raven Press.

Szirmai, A., & Verspagen, B. (2015). Manufacturing and economic growth in developing countries, 1950–2005. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 34, 46–59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2015.06.002

Veugelers, R. (2017). Remaking Europe: The new manufacturing as an engine for growth. Bruegel, Brussels. https://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Remaking_Europe_blueprint.pdf

World Economic Forum. (2016). The future of jobs: Employment, skills and the workforce strategy for the fourth industrial revolution. Geneva. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs.pdf

World Economic Forum. (2017). The global competitiveness report 2017–2018. Geneva. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/GCR2017-2018/05FullReport/TheGlobalCompetitivenessReport2017%E2%80%932018.pdf

World Economic Forum. (2019). The global competitiveness report. Geneva. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_TheGlobalCompetitivenessReport2019.pdf

Yadav, G., Kumar, A., Luthra, S., Garza-Reyes, J. A., Kumar, V., & Batista, L. (2020). A framework to achieve sustainability in manufacturing organisations of developing economies using industry 4.0 technologies’ enablers. Computers in Industry, 122, 103280. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compind.2020.103280

Zheng, J., Chen, A., Zheng, W., Zhou, X., Bai, B., Wu, J., Ling, W., Ma, H., & Wang, W. (2020). Effectiveness analysis of resources consump-tion, environmental impact and production efficiency in traditional manufacturing using new technologies: Case from sand casting. Energy Con-version and Management, 209, 112671. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2020.112671

Zheng, P., Zang, Z. X., Chen, C. H., & Khoo, L. P. (2019). A survey of smart product-service systems: Key aspects, challenges and future per-spectives. Advanced Engineering Informatics, 42, 100973. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aei.2019.100973