Share:


Factors influencing follow-on public offering of shipping companies from investor perspective – a hybrid multiple-criteria decision-making approach

    Arthur J. Lin Affiliation
    ; Sun-Weng Huang Affiliation
    ; Hai-Yen Chang Affiliation
    ; Jiuh-Biing Sheu Affiliation
    ; Gwo-Hshiung Tzeng Affiliation

Abstract

The shipping industry transports nearly 80% of the goods worldwide and requires large funding. The shipping industry shifted from debt to equity as the source of funding in the last decade. Because most shipping companies already had their initial public offering before 2013, these companies tend to engage in follow-on equity offerings (FPO). However, the challenge faced by the shipping companies is the lack of knowledge on successful FPO. The purpose of this study is to identify the most influential factors affecting shipping companies’ FPO from the investor perspective. This research applies a hybrid multiple-criteria decision-making model integrating the fuzzy-Delphi method and Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory, processing survey responses covering four dimensions and 16 criteria from 33 investment experts. The results show that financial indicator is the primary cause affecting offering condition, technical indicators. An increase in earnings per share would help the financial performance of the shipping companies to appear most attractive to investors.

Keyword : shipping industry, shipping finance, follow-on equity offering (FPO), share capital increase, multiple-criteria decision-making (MCDM), fuzzy DEMATEL

How to Cite
Lin, A. J., Huang, S.-W., Chang, H.-Y., Sheu, J.-B., & Tzeng, G.-H. (2024). Factors influencing follow-on public offering of shipping companies from investor perspective – a hybrid multiple-criteria decision-making approach. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 30(4), 1087–1119. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2024.20644
Published in Issue
Jun 5, 2024
Abstract Views
358
PDF Downloads
331
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

References

Abuselidze, G. D., & Slobodianyk, A. N. (2021). Value assessment of shares of corporate issuers by applying the methods of fundamental analysis in the stock exchange market. In A. V. Bogoviz (Ed.), The challenge of sustainability in agricultural systems (vol. 2, pp. 25–39). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-72110-7_3

Alexander, S. S. (1961). Price movements in speculative markets: Trends or random walks. Industrial Management Review, 2(2), 7–26.

Alexandridis, G., Antypas, N., Gulnur, A., & Visvikis, I. (2020). Corporate financial leverage and M&As choices: Evidence from the shipping industry. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 133, Article 101828. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2019.101828

Alexandridis, G., Kavussanos, M. G., Kim, C. Y., Tsouknidis, D. A., & Visvikis, I. D. (2018). A survey of shipping finance research: Setting the future research agenda. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 115, 164–212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2018.04.001

American Association of Individual Investors. (2022). What is investor sentiment. AAII. https://www.aaii.com/sentimentsurvey#:~:text=Investor%20sentiment%2C%20also%20referred%20to%20as%20market%20sentiment%2C,indicator%20of%20future%20price%20increases%20and%20or%20decreases

Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2002). Market timing and capital structure. The Journal of Finance (New York), 57(1), 1–32. https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6261.00414

Barberis, N., Mukherjee, A., & Wang, B. (2016). Prospect theory and stock returns: An empirical test. The Review of Financial Studies, 29(11), 3068–3107. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhw049

Barclay, M. J., Fu, F., & Smith, C. W. (2021). Seasoned equity offerings and corporate financial management. Journal of Corporate Finance (Amsterdam, Netherlands), 66, Article 101700. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2020.101700

Bazaluk, O., Zhykharieva, V., Vlasenko, O., Nitsenko, V., Streimikiene, D., & Balezentis, T. (2022). Optimization of the equity in formation of investment portfolio of a shipping company. Mathematics (Basel), 10(3), Article 363. https://doi.org/10.3390/math10030363

Bowen, R. M., Chen, X., & Cheng, Q. (2008). Analyst coverage and the cost of raising equity capital: Evidence from underpricing of seasoned equity offerings. Contemporary Accounting Research, 25(3), 657–700. https://doi.org/10.1506/car.25.3.1

Bollinger, J. (2002). Bollinger on bollinger bands. McGraw Hill Professional.

Chan, K., Nayar, N., Singh, A. K., & Yu, W. (2018). Information content of offer date revelations: A fresh look at seasoned equity offerings. Financial Management, 47(3), 519–552. https://doi.org/10.1111/fima.12186

Chen, V. Y. C., Lien, H., Liu, C., Liou, J. J. H., Tzeng, G., & Yang, L. (2011). Fuzzy MCDM approach for selecting the best environment-watershed plan. Applied Soft Computing, 11(1), 265–275. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2009.11.017

Chen, Y., Chou, R. K., & Lin, C. (2019). Investor sentiment, SEO market timing, and stock price performance. Journal of Empirical Finance, 51, 28–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2019.01.008

Chou, C. (2018). Application of ANP to the selection of shipping registry: The case of Taiwanese maritime industry. International Journal of Industrial Ergonomics, 67, 89–97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ergon.2018.04.009

Chou, H., & Chen, D. (2019). The use of technical analysis in sale-and-purchase transactions of second hand ships. Maritime Economics & Logistics, 21(2), 223–240. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41278-017-0096-2

Corporate Finance Institute. (2022a). Capital structure: Financing assets with debt and equity. https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/finance/capital-structure-overview/

Corporate Finance Institute. (2022b). Lock-up period. https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/trading-investing/lock-up-period/

Corporate Finance Institute. (2022c). Price earnings ratio. https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/valuation/price-earnings-ratio/

Corporate Finance Institute. (2022d). Technical indicator. https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/trading-investing/technical-indicator/

Corwin, S. A. (2003). The determinants of underpricing for seasoned equity offers. The Journal of Finance (New York), 58(5), 2249–2279. https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6261.00604

Dalkey, N., & Helmer, O. (1963). An experimental application of the DELPHI method to the use of experts. Management Science, 9(3), 458–467. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.9.3.458

Daniel, L., & Yildiran, C. (2019). Ship finance practices in major shipbuilding economies. OECD Science, Technology and Industry Policy Papers, No. 75. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/e0448fd0-en

Delaney, G. (2022). Vessels value: Newbuild report 2021. https://container-news.com/vesselsvalue-newbuild-report-2021/

Dixon, G. (2022). Clarksons tallies record $47 bn S&P spend in 2021 but 2022 could set new high. https://www.tradewindsnews.com/shipbroking/clarksons-tallies-record-47bn-s-p-spend-in-2021-but-2022-could-set-new-high/2-1-1171677

Drobetz, W., Ehlert, S., & Schröder, H. (2021). Institutional ownership and firm performance in the global shipping industry. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 146, Article 102152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2020.102152

Drobetz, W., Gounopoulos, D., Merika, A., & Merikas, A. (2017). Determinants of management earnings forecasts: The case of global shipping IPOs. European Financial Management, 23(5), 975–1015. https://doi.org/10.1111/eufm.12121

Drobetz, W., Gounopoulos, D., Merikas, A., & Schröder, H. (2013). Capital structure decisions of globally-listed shipping companies. Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 52, 49–76. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2012.11.008

Ehlert, S. (2022). Industry investor sentiment in the global shipping industry. Maritime Policy and Management, 1–24. https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2022.2087237

Fidelity. (2022). MACD. https://www.fidelity.com/learning-center/trading-investing/technical-analysis/technical-indicator-guide/macd

Fontela, E., & Gabus, A. (1976). The DEMATEL observer. Battelle Geneva Research Center.

Grammenos, C. T. (Ed.). (2010). The handbook of maritime economics and business (2nd ed.). Informa Law from Routledge.

Grammenos, C. T., & Papapostolou, N. C. (2012). US shipping initial public offerings: Do prospectus and market information matter? Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, 48(1), 276–295. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2011.07.009

Hao, Y., Chou, R. K., Ko, K., & Yang, N. (2018). The 52-week high, momentum, and investor sentiment. International Review of Financial Analysis, 57, 167–183. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2018.01.014

Herawati, A., & Angger, S. P. (2018). The influence of fundamental analysis on stock prices: The case of food and beverage industries. European Research Studies Journal, 21(3), 316–326. https://doi.org/10.35808/ersj/1063

Hu, T., & Gong, C. M. (2018). Does reference point matter in the leverage-return relationship? Evidence from the US stock market. Applied Economics, 50(21), 2339–2355. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2017.1394978

International Maritime Organization. (2022). Marine environment. https://www.imo.org/en/OurWork/Environment/Pages/Default.aspx

Iqbal, S. (2023). How to use KD indicator? Strategies that work. https://www.mitrade.com/insights/others/trading-strategy/kd-indicator

Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263–291. https://doi.org/10.2307/1914185

Kavussanos, M. G., & Visvikis, L. D. (Eds.). (2016). The international handbook of shipping finance: Theory and practice. Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-46546-7

Kecskés, A. (2019). Price movements of IPO stocks during the lock-up period. Public Finance Quarterly (Budapest, Hungary), 64(2), 222–238.

Kim, B., & Suh, S. (2018). Sentiment-based momentum strategy. International Review of Financial Analysis, 58, 52–68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2018.04.004

Kramberger, T., Potočan, V., & Ipavec, V. M. (2016). Selecting the optimum collateral in shipping finance. In Sustainable logistics and strategic transportation planning (pp. 295–327). IGI Global. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-5225-0001-8.ch014

Kraus, A., & Litzenberger, R. H. (1973). A state-preference model of optimal financial leverage. The Journal of Finance (New York), 28(4), 911–922. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1973.tb01415.x

Kwon, K., & Lee, J. (2009). The effects of reference point, knowledge, and risk propensity on the evaluation of financial products. Journal of Business Research, 62(7), 719–725. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2008.07.002

Lang, M. H. (2008). Discussion of “Analyst coverage and the cost of raising equity capital: Evidence from underpricing of seasoned equity offerings”. Contemporary Accounting Research, 25(3), 701–706. https://doi.org/10.1506/car.25.3.2

Lan, Y., Huang, Y., & Yan, C. (2021). Investor sentiment and stock price: Empirical evidence from Chinese SEOs. Economic Modelling, 94, 703–714. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2020.02.012

Le, L. H., Nguyen, T. B. N., Pham, X. Q., Vuong, Q. D., & Le, T. N. (2020). What influences decision on seasoned equity offerings of listed Vietnamese companies? The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics, and Business, 7(5), 1–7. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2020.vol7.no5.001

Lee, K. R., & Pak, M. (2018). Multi-criteria analysis of decision-making by international commercial banks for providing shipping loans. Maritime Policy & Management, 45(7), 850–862. https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2018.1448476

Lee, P. E. (2019). The empirical study of investor sentiment on stock return prediction. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 9(2), 119–124.

Liu, K. (2021). Taiwan’s big 3 ocean shippers hitting it big, but what’s next? https://english.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=3058

Liu, Y., Dai, S., Chang, F., Lin, Y., & Lee, N. R. (2020). Does the investor sentiment affect the stock returns in Taiwan’s stock market under different market states? Journal of Applied Finance and Banking, 10(5), 41–59.

Makrominas, M. (2018). Estimating the implied risk premium of US listed shipping firms. Maritime Policy & Management, 45(8), 1021–1041. https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2018.1450527

Malkiel, B., Mullainathan, S., & Stangle, B. (2005). Market efficiency versus behavioral finance. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, 17(3), 124–136. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6622.2005.00053.x

Maniati, M., & Sambracos, E. (2017). Decision-making process in shipping finance: A stochastic approach. Cogent Economics & Finance, 5(1), Article 1317083. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2017.1317083

Maritime Logistics Market Report. (2022). Global forecast from 2022 to 2030. https://dataintelo.com/report/global-maritime-logistics-market/

Michail, N. A., & Melas, K. D. (2019). A cointegrating stock trading strategy: Application to listed tanker shipping companies. Journal of Shipping and Trade, 4(1), Article 9. https://doi.org/10.1186/s41072-019-0049-2

Michail, N. A., & Melas, K. D. (2020). Shipping markets in turmoil: An analysis of the Covid-19 outbreak and its implications. Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives, 7, Article 100178. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trip.2020.100178

Miller, G. (2019). Outlook 2020: Ocean shipping finance to tighten further. https://www.freightwaves.com/news/outlook-2020-ocean-shipping-finance-to-tighten-further

Modigliani, F., & Miller, M. H. (1959). The cost of capital, corporation finance, and the theory of investment: Reply. The American Economic Review, 49(4), 655–669.

Mon, D., Cheng, C., & Lin, J. (1994). Evaluating weapon system using fuzzy analytic hierarchy process based on entropy weight. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 62(2), 127–134. https://doi.org/10.1016/0165-0114(94)90052-3

Murray, T. J., Pipino, L. L., & Gigch, J. P. (1985). A pilot study of fuzzy set modification of Delphi. Human System Management, 5(1), 76–80. https://doi.org/10.3233/HSM-1985-5111

Myers, S. C. (1977). Determinants of corporate borrowing. Journal of Financial Economics, 5(2), 147–175. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(77)90015-0

Ohk, S., & Ju, B. (2021). Capitalizing on prospect theory value: The Asian developed stock markets. Japan and the World Economy, 57, Article 101042. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2020.101042

Paun, C., & Topan, V. (2016). Capital structure in the global shipping industry. Panoeconomicus, 63(3), 359–384. https://doi.org/10.2298/PAN1603359P

Petropoulos, T. (2020). Why do publicly quoted shipping companies increase or reduce their share capital? https://www.nafsgreen.gr/articles-2/8319-ted-petropoulos-why-do-publicly-quoted-shipping-companies-increase-or-reduce-their-share-capital.html

Pribor, J., & Lind, C. S. (2016). Public and private equity markets. In M. Kavussanos, & I. D. Visvikis (Eds.), The international handbook of shipping finance (pp. 169–189). Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-46546-7_7

Qu, G., Zhao, T., Zhu, B., Tzeng, G., & Huang, S. (2019). Use of a modified DANP-mV model to improve quality of life in rural residents: The empirical case of Xingshisi village, China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 16(1), Article 153. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16010153

Roychowdhury, S., & Pedrycz, W. (2001). A survey of defuzzification strategies. International Journal of Intelligent Systems, 16(6), 679–695. https://doi.org/10.1002/int.1030

Shraddha, S. (2022). What is a public follow-on offering? https://www.wallstreetmojo.com/follow-on-public-offering/

Stopford, M. (2009). Maritime economics (3rd ed.). Taylor & Francis.

Syriopoulos, T., & Bakos, G. (2019). Investor herding behaviour in globally listed shipping stocks. Maritime Policy & Management, 46(5), 545–564. https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2019.1597288

Talans, L., & Accioly Fonseca Minardi, A. M. (2021). Behavior of stock prices due to the lock-up period expiration in IPOs and follow-ons. Revista Contabilidade & Finanças, 32(86), 331–344. https://doi.org/10.1590/1808-057x202112150

Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1991). Loss aversion in riskless choice: A reference-dependent model. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(4), 1039–1061. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937956

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2020). Review of maritime transport 2020. UNCTAD. https://unctad.org/webflyer/review-maritime-transport-2020

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2022). E-handbook of statistics 2021. https://hbs.unctad.org/merchant-fleet/

van Laarhoven, P. J. M., & Pedrycz, W. (1983). A fuzzy extension of Saaty’s priority theory. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 11(1), 229–241. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-0114(83)80082-7

Vuković, M., Pivac, S., & Babić, Z. (2020). Comparative analysis of stock selection using a hybrid MCDM approach and modern portfolio theory. Croatian Review of Economic, Business and Social Statistics, 6(2), 58–68. https://doi.org/10.2478/crebss-2020-0011

Wilder, W. (1978). New concepts in technical trading systems. Trend Research.

Woo, S., Kwon, M., & Yuen, K. F. (2020). Financial determinants of credit risk in the logistics and shipping industries. Maritime Economics & Logistics, 23(2), 268–290. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41278-020-00157-4

Wu, C., Chou, H., & Liu, C. (2021). Fear index and freight rates in dry-bulk shipping markets. Applied Economics, 53(11), 1235–1248. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2020.1827140

Yalcin, E., Arslan, O., & Aymelek, M. (2020). Developing a policy management algorithm for ship provision: A Delphi technique integrated with hesitant fuzzy set (DTIHFS) approach. Maritime Policy & Management, 47(8), 1097–1118. https://doi.org/10.1080/03088839.2020.1766142

Zadeh, L. A. (1971). Similarity relations and fuzzy orderings. Information Sciences, 3(2), 177–200. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0020-0255(71)80005-1